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The End of Theory: Financial Crises, the Failure of Economics, and the Sweep of Human Interaction

by Richard Bookstaber

rating: 4.4 (13 reviews)


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An in-depth look at how to account for the human complexities at the heart of today's financial system

Our economy may have recovered from the Great Recession--but not our economics. In The End of Theory, Richard Bookstaber discusses why the human condition and the radical uncertainty of our world renders the standard economic model--and the theory behind it--useless for dealing with financial crises. What model should replace it? None. At least not any version we've been using for the past two hundred years. Instead, Bookstaber argues for a new approach called agent-based economics, one that takes as a starting point the fact that we are humans, not the optimizing automatons that standard economics assumes we are.

Bookstaber's groundbreaking paradigm promises to do a far better job at preventing crises and managing those that break out. As he explains, our varied memories and imaginations color our economic behavior in unexpected hues. Agent-based modeling embraces these nuances by avoiding the mechanistic, unrealistic structure of our current economic approach. Bookstaber tackles issues such as radical uncertainty, when circumstances take place beyond our anticipation, and emergence, when innocent, everyday interactions combine to create sudden chaos. Starting with the realization that future crises cannot be predicted by the past, he proposes an approach that recognizes the human narrative while addressing market realities.

Sweeping aside the historic failure of twentieth-century economics, The End of Theory offers a novel and innovative perspective, along with a more realistic and human framework, to help prevent today's financial system from blowing up again.




Details:
rank: #2,372
price: $25.47
bound:
publisher: Princeton University Press (May 2, 2017)
lang: English
asin:
isbn: 0691169012, 978-0691169019,
weight: 1.2 pounds (
filesize:

















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Richard Bookstaber
At least not any version we've been using for the past two hundred yearsBookstaber's groundbreaking paradigm promises to do a far better job at preventing crises and managing those that break outCopyright 2017 Richard BookstaberThe description of what happened in October of 1987 is alright, the explanation of the flash-crash of 2010, on the other hand, does not even contain an indictment of the Einsteins (or are they merely CYA-agents) who are suing some poor idiot who traded the mini S&P from his parents basement in HounslowThe simple calculations of arithmetic could express the human conditionEconomicsIts Alvin Roths Who Gets What and Why? That book leaves it till page 131 out of 230 to explain the Nobel Prize winners algorithm for matching kidney donors to recipients.Bookstaber does one better: theres no algorithm in this book!No, seriously.Dunno, maybe his former employer, Ray Dalio, would sue him if he published it (though the author does take a pot-shot at risk-parity strategies on pLearn how to enable JavaScript on your browser The End of Theory: Financial Crises, the Failure of Economics, and the Sweep of Human Interaction by Richard BookstaberRichard Bookstaber All Formats & Editions See All Formats & Editions An in-depth look at how to account for the human complexities at the heart of today's financial systemOur economy may have recovered from the Great Recessionbut not our economicsAccording to Bookstaber, its time to stop tweaking a 150-year-old model that seems to be getting worse, not better, at predicting crises, and embrace something totally newAt least not any version we've been using for the past two hundred yearsTheaardvark01 marked it as to-read Mar 31, 2017 Shop Now Hobbies & Collectibles Hobbies & Collectibles Categories Bestsellers Collectibles Crafting Family & Classic Games Hobbies Mind, Memory, & Logic Puzzles Strategy Games Trend Special Collections Doctor Who DC Comics Lego Architecture Marvel Comics Walking Dead Shop By Price Under $10 $10 - $25 $25 - $50 Over $50 Deals All Hobbies & Collectibles Deals Funko POP: Buy 1, Get 1 30% Off Save on your favorite pop culture characters for a limited timeAs he explains, our varied memories and imaginations color our economic behavior in unexpected hues

Tags Add tagsfor"The end of theory : financial crises, the failure of economics, and the sweep of human interaction"Advertising Show More Editorial Reviews From the Publisher "Important and elegantly written."--Jason Zweig, Wall Street Journal"The End of Theory holds some important lessons for financial markets todayISBN: 978-0-691-16901-9 CHAPTER 1Crises and SunspotsDuring a visit to the London School of Economics as the 2008 financial crisis was reaching its climax, Queen Elizabeth asked the question that no doubt was on the minds of many of her subjects: "Why did nobody see it coming?" The response, at least by the University of Chicago economist Robert Lucas, was blunt: Economics could not give useful service for the 2008 crisis because economic theory has established that it cannot predict such crisesJanet W rated it really liked it Jun 12, 2017 If you are studying people, not only do individuals learn and change, entire societies doSpot a trend?I read and enjoyed author Richard Bookstabers A Demon of our own Design when it came out, and totally took to heart his findings at the time, regarding how a complex system with close couplings has the potential to go all wrong, so I was elated to hear he was prepared to tell the world where ten more years of deep thinking had taken a man who had in essence written a sober and well-reasoned book to predict the crisis of 2007.On the other hand, I am extremely suspicious of books that declare they will provide the necessary content to shed new light on (let alone upend) the work done by generations of scientists and academics 07f867cfac
Richard Bookstaber

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